III. Promised and Implied, Measured Against Outcomes

U.S. regime-change wars in oil-producing countries were rarely officially described as “wars for oil.” Yet oil was almost always part of the background logic. The public was told—directly or indirectly—that these interventions would protect energy supplies, stabilize prices, or prevent hostile control of critical resources.

This section explains why those expectations were misplaced, and why they repeatedly failed when tested against real outcomes.

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IV. Case Studies

The following tables record documented costs and returns for Iran, Iraq, Libya, and Post-911 wars in oil-producing countries.

All monetary figures in the tables below are expressed in constant 2024 U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted. Historical dollar amounts were adjusted using the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index (CPI) Inflation Calculator. https://www.bls.gov/data/inflation_calculator.htm

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